Sep 22, 2012; San Diego, CA, USA; Atlanta Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan (2) throws a first quarter pass against the San Diego Chargers at Qualcomm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jake Roth-US PRESSWIRE

NFL Power Rankings: Week 3


Here’s this week’s Power Rankings based on my mathematical model for what makes teams win in the NFL.

At the top you have the Atlanta Houston and Baltimore* trio that shouldn’t surprise anyone. All three of those teams have managed to win convincingly with some regularity in the early goings this season, and it shows in rankings.

The Seahawks are a huge surprise (at least to me) checking in at #5. Sure they are 2-1, but they haven’t played well enough on offense for me to expect them to be this high. Where the Seahawks do really shine is on defense, where they have the best overall ranking in the league (lower numbers are better in this category, in case you were wondering.)

One of the biggest mover this week, at least in the positive direction, is Arizona. Something had to give with them, they had managed to get to 2-0 despite being fairly poor statistically. Eventually, they were either going to lose, or win in a way in which their overall stats more closely matched their record. The latter happened, and they jumped from #22 to #10.

The Giants were true “winners” this week, managing to jump from #21 all the way up to #5. These rankings are based on composite stats, so that should tell you just how well they played. One week’s worth of stats completely overshadowed the previous two weeks combined. Which,when you think about from a sample size perspectives, that’s pretty amazing.

On the other end of the spectrum is Carolina, who dropped 13 places.

Rank

Last

Team

Off

Def

PTDif

ST

Power

1

7

Atlanta

12.65

13.7

15.3

20.54

94.9

2

2

Houston

13.65

11.4

15.3

-18.44

91.4

3

3

Baltimore

15.95

13.35

10.4

12.38

90.3

4

5

Seattle

11.95

10.65

6

17.54

81.8

5

21

NY Giants

14.65

15.45

9.6

10.86

81.4

6

13

Chicago

12.15

12

8

15.74

80.8

7

4

New England

12.6

12.25

6

7.54

78.9

8

14

Buffalo

15.2

13.35

2.7

15.24

77.7

9

6

San Francisco

15.1

11.7

1.6

-16.4

74.9

10

22

Arizona

10.8

11.9

9

-14.44

75.1

11

12

Minnesota

13.1

11.7

3.6

-2.8

74.8

12

9

Washington

16.05

15.4

-0.7

-6.74

70.2

13

1

San Diego

12.55

11.8

4

-12.84

70.6

14

17

NY Jets

12.15

13.6

2

13.8

70.2

15

8

Miami

13.5

11.2

-0.3

14.08

71.0

16

10

Denver

12.6

12.05

0

5.94

67.5

17

16

Green Bay

12.25

13.5

1

12.58

66.7

18

15

Pittsburgh

11.4

13.35

0.7

2.76

64.4

19

24

Dallas

13.05

11.9

-2.3

5.12

64.8

20

20

Tampa Bay

11.2

12.35

-2.3

-18.9

61.1

21

18

St. Louis

13.05

13.65

-6

-1.5

57.4

22

23

Detroit

13.4

14.05

-2.3

-22.78

58.4

23

19

Philadelphia

13.8

11.7

-6.3

-20.48

56.7

24

11

Carolina

15.65

13.65

-9

3.28

57.3

25

29

Jacksonville

12.85

13.8

-6

-14.34

56.1

26

28

Cincinnati

15.35

17.2

-5.7

14.06

55.9

27

25

Cleveland

12.65

13.05

-6

-24.26

55.8

28

30

Oakland

12

13.6

-9

1.42

52.9

29

27

New Orleans

14.1

16.6

-6.3

-1.56

52.7

30

26

Indianapolis

12.45

14.55

-7.4

-6.34

50.3

31

31

Kansas City

15.2

15.35

-10.3

-29.02

45.8

32

32

Tennessee

11.1

14.35

-15.4

25.14

42.7

Per request, this week, I’ve decided to show you overall offense and defense rankings, rather than the usual “Yards” composite of those. This is a bit tough to look at, since a better defense will give you a lower number on defense, but people asked to see it this week so there it is.

I’ve also included point differential and each team’s special teams ratings.

*I likely wont get this posted until Friday morning, but Baltimore’s game vs the Browns on Thursday night will not be included.

Tags: Featured NFL Popular Seattle Seahawks

  • Hawkman

    Just think where this team could be a now and where it might go if we had a better more experienced QB . MATT FLYNN NEEDS TO PLAY!