Mathematical Power Rankings – Week 16
By Keith Myers
Time once again for my mathematical power rankings. If you’re new here, or haven’t been paying attention, these are based entirely on stats. About 30 season stats, are combined into 1 meta-stat (power) and the teams are ranked accordingly. There’s no popularity contest going on here.
New England managed to hold on to the #1 spot despite losing to the #2 San Francisco. The gap really closed between the 2 teams. The Patriots also dropped below 90, which is the threshold for a a truly dominant team. There isn’t one team above that point right now, which seems fitting.
As expected, the Seahawks jumped up into the #3 spot after another blowout. Since these rankings are based on season stats, it shows how impressive this team as been. 5 losses would suggest that the Seahawks aren’t nearly as good as they really are.
I’ll save the comparisons between Seattle and San Francisco for an article later this week. Needless to say, the teams are similar in a lot of ways.
Rank |
Last
Team
Yds
PTDif
ST
3rd%
Power
1
1
New England
0.12
13.6
14.82
8.3
88.8
2
2
San Francisco
4.66
9.9
4.72
6.1
88.2
3
5
Seattle
1.98
9.4
3.66
-3.5
80.8
4
3
Denver
1.52
9.6
10.52
11.9
79.3
5
4
Houston
0.86
8.1
-2.08
9.6
78.8
6
6
Chicago
0.08
5.8
10.86
2.6
74.4
7
9
Washington
2.34
2.2
5.64
-10.1
72.1
8
12
Atlanta
-1.52
8
-1.54
5.8
70.7
9
13
Cincinnati
0.82
4.5
4.74
-3
69.1
10
10
Green Bay
0.1
3.7
6.7
5.2
68.8
11
8
Baltimore
0.06
3
10.18
-1.9
68.6
12
7
NY Giant
-0.96
4.9
-3.66
-0.8
68.0
13
16
Minnesota
1.5
0.8
3.84
-7.7
63.1
14
11
Tampa Bay
0.74
0.4
-10.04
-7.7
62.2
15
18
Carolina
1.14
-1.7
-0.94
4.5
61.5
16
15
Pittsburgh
1.26
0.8
-7.42
7.7
59.4
17
23
New Orleans
-1.2
0.7
-4.1
5.8
58.7
18
14
Cleveland
-0.94
-2.1
15.2
-5.3
58.7
19
17
San Diego
-0.36
-0.9
-3.72
-2.4
56.8
20
22
Miami
0.06
-1
1.46
1.6
55.2
21
21
Dallas
-1.7
-0.7
-1.12
6.6
52.8
22
20
St. Louis
-0.2
-4.1
-11.72
-3.8
51.0
23
19
Detroit
-0.54
-3.5
-8.18
6.2
50.8
24
25
NY Jets
-0.96
-4.7
6
-0.1
48.6
25
27
Tennessee
0
-7.9
1.48
-1.8
47.8
26
24
Buffalo
-0.4
-6.8
9.76
-5.9
47.2
27
29
Arizona
-2.74
-5.6
-4.28
-8.2
45.5
28
26
Indianapolis
-1.74
-3.5
-8.82
3.3
44.9
29
28
Philadelphia
0
-8.7
-9.48
-1.2
39.6
30
31
Oakland
-1.46
-9.9
-14.06
-6.1
38.4
31
30
Jacksonville
-2.06
-11.8
-8.78
-13.2
36.9
32
32
Kansas City
-1.8
-12.3
-14.28
-3.9
29.6
Yds – A combination of offensive and defensive index. Generally a positive number means that a team’s offense is better at moving the move than how opposing offenses are at doing so against it’s defense.
PTDEF – point differential per game.
ST – Special team’s index. Combination os all parts of special teams play.
3rd% – The difference between 3rd down efficiency and defensive 3rd down efficiency.
There are also about 30 other things involved in determining the power level for each team. Those 4 are just the ones I wanted to include in the table this week.