Spreading the Wealth: The Seahawks and Number One Receivers
May 20, 2013; Seattle, WA, USA; Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Percy Harvin (11) participates in organized team activities at the Virginia Mason Athletic Center Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports
When the Seahawks acquired Percy Harvin they paid a fair steep price for a player they thought would be a number one receiver. In football, the term “number one receiver” is a bit of an ambiguous one, much like “ace” in baseball. Some people believe it refers to a particular level of ability whereas others consider it simply a position on the depth chart.
Both definitions apply to Percy Harvin and given that he’s gone for the time being Sidney Rice is the de facto number one. I wrote an article not so long ago about how I believe strongly that this team has good receiving depth and would be able to handle the loss without too much difficulty. However, it did get me thinking about what a number one receiver can mean to a team and what how hard this team has leaned on their top guy in the past in order to put Harvin’s absence into perspective. The chart below shows the production that the Seahawks have gotten from their top receiver (by receiving yards) in terms of both raw numbers and percentage of the team’s aerial attack over the last 5 years:
Year |
Player
Receptions
Yards
Touchdowns
Percentage of Team’s Passing Yardage
2008
John Carlson
55
627
5
24%
2009
T.J. Houshmandzadeh
79
911
3
26%
2010
Mike Williams
65
751
2
22.5%
2011
Doug Baldwin
51
788
4
25.4%
2012
Sidney Rice
50
748
7
24.7%
2008-2012 Average
N/A
60
765
4.2
24.5%
One thing you notice here is that there isn’t a single 1,000 yard receiver in this group. Additionally, a different player has led the team in receiving yardage each year.It is true that Seattle has not been a dominant passing team for a while. Even last year the passing game was effective in terms of efficiency rather than volume. Percy Harvin could have been expected to better these numbers, and likely by a significant margin, but what is of more interest of what percentage of the passing yardage these players account for. For a frame of reference Calvin Johnson accounted for 39.9% of Detroit’s passing yards last year so none of these numbers strike me as particularly high. You could either view the Seahawks as a team who has seriously lacked a top receiver or one that has spread the wealth but the bottom line is the same.
The fact of the matter is that a single wide receiver, even an excellent one is only likely to account for around 25% of this team’s passing yardage. That number sounds high but if only a quarter of the passing production on this team is even affected by Percy Harvin’s average that’s pretty good news. It’s not quite as simple as that because the Seahawks may have used Harvin more than his predecessors and his presence opens up opportunities for other players when he’s in the lineup, but it still appears the loss isn’t catastrophic. Sometimes the way sports is marketed and discussed implies that everything is driven by superstars and while that may be true in basketball it just isn’t the case in football. Quarterbacks are something of an exception but the reality of the situation is that a wide receiver isn’t going to win you any Super Bowls single-handedly.
When Harvin was acquired he did not make Seattle far, far more likely to win a championship in 2013 and alternatively his injury has not dimmed their chances by that significant of a margin. Sidney Rice and Golden Tate did a fine job last year and there is no reason, perhaps other than Rice’s susceptibility to injury, why they can’t do it again. Other than possibly Megatron, one receiver just doesn’t have the ability to make or break a season. In recent years on this team one receiver hasn’t even had the ability to make it to 1,000 yards.