Jan 18, 2015; Seattle, WA, USA; Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Doug Baldwin (89) celebrates as the confetti pours onto the field following their victory over the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship Game at CenturyLink Field. The Seahawks Are headed to Super Bowl XLiX Credit: Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports
The Super Bowl XLIX matchup is set. The Seattle Seahawks will take on the New England Patriots in Glendale Arizona on February 1st. It is the Seahawks that open as the early favorites for this game.
Initial reports were that the Seahawks were opening at 2.5 point favorites for this game, but I couldn’t find any of the online references for betting lines that had posted those odds. Football Locks finally updated their site, and they list Seattle as one-point favorites as of when this was being written.
Vegas Insider, my preferred source for this stuff, doesn’t have all of their information available yet. The books they have listed have the game anywhere from being a “pick” game to Seattle being a one-point favorite.
The line is likely to move once the bets start rolling in. Given Seattle’s underwhelming performance for the first 50 minutes vs. the Packers, and New England’s blowout win, I expect that the line will shift in New England’s favor. If you plan on betting on the Patriots, you might want to get you bet in soon while Vegas is still giving you points.
On the other hand, if the line does shift New England’s way, betting on Seattle now would be a mistake. Why give up a point if you don’t have to? By waiting until closer to the game, it is possible that that Vegas will actually be giving you a point or more.
The over/under is currently set at 48.5. That seems to be a bit high in my opinion. Both of these teams have quality defenses, so this is likely to be a low scoring game.
Despite the overtime touchdown to win, the Seahawks didn’t cover the spread in the NFC Championship game against Green Bay. Seattle was actually 8.5 point favorites, and only won by six points.