Can Brandon Marshall turn back the clock for the Seahawks?

What can the Seahawks expect from Marshall?

I’d say they can expect more than the Giants got out of him, at least per catch. For those scoring at home, Marshall would have had 58 catches for just under 500 yards over a full season in 2017. I’d peg his productivity somewhere in the middle of his two years with the Jets, just on the lower end. When Marshall snagged those 14 touchdowns in 2015, he was targeted 173 times.

That is not going to happen on the Seahawks. Doug Baldwin has never gotten more than 125 targets, so you can be sure Marshall will be getting a lot less than that. Even if he has a great camp and beats Tyler Lockett for the number two receiver spot, we’re still looking at a top end of about 90 targets for Marshall.

If Marshall pulls in 60 percent of those, about what he averaged in his good seasons, that’s right at 54 receptions. He’s averaged 12.7 yards per catch in his career, so we’ll be generous and give him that. That’s 685 yards, not too bad for the second wideout on a running team. And we do expect to be a running team. He has 82 touchdowns in his career. Based on his career touchdown average, you could expect Marshall to pull down five touchdown passes.

Again, that’s if we get the good Brandon Marshall. At best, if he turns back the clock to 2016, the Seahawks should be very happy. Just as the expectations for Jimmy Graham were completely unrealistic, there is no way Brandon Marshall will crank out another season like 2015. The opportunities simply aren’t there, and wouldn’t be even if he was the number one receiver.