What 12s should expect from Seahawks rookie Tre Brown in 2021
By Andy Excell
As I did yesterday with D’Wayne Eskridge, I will attempt to quantify what a reasonable expectation of the Seahawks second pick in the 202 draft CB Tre Brown.
Brown was selected with the final pick of the fourth round and 137th overall. Rather than use the power of hindsight to praise or criticize Brown at the end of the season, let’s set out what previous CB’s taken in the fourth round of previous drafts have achieved.
Of course, this will also apply to the six CBs taken either side of Brown in the 2021 draft, these are Darren Hall of Atlanta, Zech McPhearson fo Philadelphia, Camryn Bynum of Minnesota, Robert Rochell of the LA Rams, Marco Wilson of Arizona and Shaun Wade of Baltimore.
Previous CBs taken in the fourth round compared to Seahawks Tre Brown
Darnay Holmes – NY Giants – 12 games – 5 starts – 30 tackles – 5 passes disrupted – 2 QB hits
Reggie Robinson – Dallas – 5 games – 0 starts – 1 tackle – 1 forced fumble
Josiah Scott – Jacksonville – 6 games – 0 starts – 11 tackles
Julian Love – NY Giants – 15 games – 5 starts – 37 tackles – 3 PD’s – 1 forced fumble – 1 QB hit
Kendall Sheffield – Atlanta – 16 games – 11 starts – 46 tackles – 3 PD’s and a forced fumble
Iman Marshall – Minnesota – 3 games – 0 starts – 1 tackle
Isaiah Johnson – Raiders – 5 games – 0 starts – 2 tackles – 1 PD
Nick Nelson – Raiders – 10 games – 3 starts – 20 tackles – 1 PD
Anthony Averett – Baltimore – 11 games – 0 starts – 5 tackles – 2 PD’s
Taron Johnson – Buffalo – 11 games – 2 starts – 42 tackles – 3 PD’s – 1 forced fumble
Avonte Maddux – Philadelphia – 13 games – 9 starts – 35 tackles – 4 PD’s and a forced fumble.
Howard Wilson – Cleveland – never played a game
On average these twelve played in 107 games, made 35 starts, completed 230 tackles, disrupted 22 passes, had 4 forced fumbles and 3 QB hits.
Taking an average of those, if Tre Brown appears in 9 games, makes 3 starts, is involved in 19 tackles, disrupts 2 passes and has either a forced fumble or a QB hit he will have justified his fourth round pick.
To be seen as a really good pick he needs to exceed these numbers across the board and also be ranked in the top fifteen rookie corners in 2021 having been the 20th CB selected in that draft.
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If he plays in 14 or more games, makes 8 starts and gets more than 35 tackles then this will look like an exceptional fourth round pick, especially given the number of corners he is competing with in his first season with the Seahawks.