Carson Strong, Nevada
Strong is good enough to be an NFL quarterback for the next 12-to-15 years. The question is whether his previous knee issues (he hurt his knee initially in high school) make him fall to the second round or longer. His arm talent is first round good and possibly the best of the 2022 draft. But injuries scare NFL teams a lot and Strong could drop to the second round because an NFL team doesn’t want to take on the long-term availability at the team’s most important position.
NFL teams are also more and more looking for a quarterback who can run as well as throw. Mac Jones of the Patriots was a first round pick and he looks like he is going to be a good quarterback but he also joined a system that was perfect for him. Most teams don’t run offenses the way the Patriots do anymore.
And to be fair, the Seahawks want a bit of mobility in their quarterback too but if Strong is still available in the second round, the Seahawks should snag him. Strong could be a productive starter by 2023. If Seattle does want to do a rebuild and trade Russell Wilson, Strong would be a pretty good replacement.
Strong has completed 70.7 percent of his passes this year (70.1 percent in 2020) and has 28 touchdown passes and just 7 interceptions. He also plays on a team that cannot run so defenses know Strong has to throw and he still succeeds.
Strong would need to declare for the 2022 NFL draft but there is little chance he won’t. He has nothing else to prove in college. He won’t replace Wilson is 2022, but he could by 2023 and be a starter until the 2030s.