The mathy reason the Seahawks will maul the Texans in huge win

That’s right 12s, I predict the Seattle Seahawks will absolutely maul the Texans today. There are about 37 reasons for my faith, but for now, I’ll stick to math.

On the surface, it may be a bit of a bold statement that a 4-8 team will win at all, let alone maul the opposition. The Seahawks are better than their 4-8 record though. If such a thing is possible, the Texans are probably even worst than their 2-10 record suggests. I truly could come up with about 37 reasons the Hawks will prevail, but you know how I like to get mathy.

The Hawks, as you know, have two overtime losses. A couple of bounces the other way and the losses to the Titans and Steelers are both wins. I’m not suggesting that Seattle deserved to win both of those games, but they certainly could have. The same holds true for the losses against the Saints and the Football Team. (No, I’ll never tire of mocking that decision). It isn’t exactly far-fetched to suggest that Seattle could have been 8-4 at this point, certainly 6-6.

Seahawks are vastly better than the Texans

Let’s look at the Texans record now. They have two wins, one against the hapless Jaguars, and an inexplicable victory over the Titans. It’s worth noting that Houston didn’t face the same team as Seattle did. Tennessee was still adjusting to playing without Derrick Henry. As TitanSized writer Will Lomas wrote, nearly a dozen Titans either missed or couldn’t finish the game. So maybe the win over Tennessee isn’t inexplicable after all. As for the Texans 10 losses, those are more easily explained. Simply put, Houston is a very bad team. In those 10 losses, the Texans have scored a mind-boggling 105 points.

You don’t even have to be mathy to see that’s barely over a touchdown and a field goal. Houston has been shut out twice and held to single digits in four more games. It should be no surprise that their 164 points rank dead last in the league. Houston’s defense is hardly better, as they’ve surrendered 323 points, and rank 30th in points allowed. Yes, the Texans have allowed almost twice as many points as they’ve scored. That is not a recipe for success.

The average score of a Texans game is 14 – 27. That… that’s not good. For comparison, the average score for the Seahawks this season is 20 – 21. When you score 239 points and allow 249, it isn’t exactly what you want to see, but it certainly puts you in a better position to win than getting shellacked virtually every week. This is why I say there’s a much bigger difference between the Seahawks and the Texans than the two wins in the standings show.

As for specifics, the photo above is one of the prime reasons everyone at 12thManRising predicts the Hawks will smack the Texans around today. I expect Tyler Lockett to have another of his huge games tomorrow. He certainly won’t be the only one, but as Russell Wilson looks to be back in the groove, all I see for Houston today is sorrow.