Commanders vs. Seahawks best NFL prop bets for Week 10

Sep 24, 2023; Seattle, Washington, USA; Seattle Seahawks wide receiver DK Metcalf (14) runs for
Sep 24, 2023; Seattle, Washington, USA; Seattle Seahawks wide receiver DK Metcalf (14) runs for / Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Seahawks got dismantled by the Baltimore Ravens on the road last week, but turn the page to Week 10 to face the Washington Commanders.

This should figure as a great bounceback spot for the Seahawks offense that is still flush with playmakers, but in need of a favorable matchup after playing the likes of the Ravens and Browns. Thankfully, the Commanders present that as one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL, setting up for big games from Geno Smith and D.K. Metcalf on Sunday.

Here's how I'm playing those two in the player prop market as well as a bet on Sam Howell. You can find those bets below, but you should know that you can wager on these props at Caesars Sportsbook and have your first bet matched up to $1,000 when you sign up below! All you have to do is click the link!

Best Prop Bets for Commanders vs. Seahawks in Week 10

  • Geno Smith OVER 261.5 Passing Yards
  • D.K. Metcalf OVER 66.5 Receiving Yards
  • Sam Howell to Throw an Interception

Geno Smith OVER 261.5 Passing Yards

Smith is off a few poor outings in a row, going below this number in three straight despite winning two of them. However, this is the perfect landing spot for Smith to get back on track against a porous Washington secondary that is 30th in EPA/Dropback.

With the plethora of pass catching options on hand (more on that in a bit), Smith should get back to his high output games, which includes 326 yards in Cincinnati against a stout Bengals defense and 328 yards in Detroit against the Lions.

D.K. Metcalf OVER 66.5 Receiving Yards

Metcalf is the wide receiver I'm targeting in the prop market. While his volume may be down over the course of the season, his underlying metrics suggest he should be in line for a big second half of the season.

While he only has 28 catches this season in seven games this season, but has 50 targets and an average reception rate of 16 yards. Metcalf is the vertical threat on this offense and can stretch the field, so I may only need a few catches to clear this mark, and I'll take his over yards in a massive outing for him against a poor defense.

Sam Howell to Throw an Interception

Howell has thrown nine interceptions in nine games, but it should be even worse than that with 15 turnover worthy plays, according to Pro Football Focus. Howell has made some plays for the Commanders, but is erratic in the pocket, taking plenty of sacks and forcing many passes.

Seattle is right around the league average in interceptions this season with six, but this matchup should suit the team well to get one given that the team is expected to be playing from ahead and Howell has more pass attempts than any quarterback in football this season (353). Washington has let Howell chuck the ball around the field, and I believe it'll end up in the hands with a Seahawks defender at least once on Sunday.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Track Reed's bets here!