2015 NFL Draft: Seattle Seahawks Draft Trade Tracker
By Keith Myers
The NFL Draft is finally here. One of the more underrated aspects of the draft are the trades that occur. The Seahawks are always one of the more active teams on that front. So active that it can be difficult to keep track of what picks the Seahawks still have, and which they’ve traded away. Luckily, we’ve got you covered here. We’ll update this every time the Seahawks make a draft day trade.
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Seahawks general manager John Schneider loves to trade picks during the draft. He especially loves to trade down and acquire more picks. With eleven picks already at his disposal, will this be the year that he finally trades up?
When it comes to evaluating trades, there are multiple systems that are commonly used. First, there is the traditional “draft pick value chart” created by Jimmy Johnson years ago. It assigns a value to each pick in the draft pick. Teams try and balance the values of what they’re giving up and what they get in return.
The problem with the Johnson chart is that the values are arbitrarily assigned. There is no reason why a particular pick should be worth the value assigned to it, other than that the chart says so.
Two separate refinements to the Johnson chart have been created, both based on a metric from Pro Football Reference know as actual value, or AV. One, developed by Harvard’s Kevin Meers, uses historical data for a players’ career AV compared to their draft position.
The other, developed by Chase Stuart, uses the same approach as Meers, but only considers the AV from a players’ first five seasons. That timeframe was chosen because that is as long as a team can reasonably be expected to control the rights to a player they draft.
As you might expect, the Stuart and Meers charts are extremely similar. They are also similarly flawed. As a metric, AV is dependent on how much a player played, instead of how well that player played. While it is reasonable to assume that better players will play more, that isn’t always the case.
While none of these tools are perfect, they all provide insight into the value given and received in any trade. They are the tools we use to evaluate the draft trades that Schneider will inevitably make.
So, whenever the Seahawks make a trade over the next few days, check back here for full details and analysis of the trade.
Next: Seahawks trade the farm