Can Marshawn Lynch be in full Beastmode for the Raiders, and should it matter to Seahawks fans?
Time to run the numbers, statheads
I have to say, they’re wrong. Well, not totally wrong. They predict fewer touches (right), but more yards (wrong, so wrong). Notice, the over/under is based on his career numbers with the Seahawks, not just 2015. Carr predicted significantly fewer touches. Oakland already has two capable running backs in Jalen Richard and DeAndre Washington. They combined for 160 carries last season, taking all those touches from Latavius Murray. Murray may not be as great as classic Beastmode, but his 2016 was far better than the last season Marshawn Lynch played. Barring injury, there is no way Richard and Washington get fewer carries this season.
As for Lynch, 19.7 touches per game equates to 315 for the year. Subtract 35 catches, about his average for his last two full seasons. That’s 280 carries. No way on Earth that happens. Let’s give him credit for being Marshawn Lynch, and give him 215 carries, twenty more than Murray had last year.
Now look at that yardage. 77.4 yards per game gives him 1,238 yards per season. First, only four men 31 or older ever reached that number. Second, none of them had two backfield running mates with over 5 yards per carry and over 450 yards rushing. Third, fewer carries and more yards means Lynch would have to average more yards per carry than his average as a Seahawk. Not his off year in 2015, remember, his Seattle career. That career average is 4.4 yards per carry.