Russell Wilson gets hit and the final score
Number two: Washington sacks Wilson only twice but hits him 9 times
While I think (maybe more like hope), Wilson has a good game in week 12, I still believe he gets hit a lot. I am willing to go out on a limb thinking Wilson will be OK, but the Seahawks offensive line? Not so much. They are bad and they will be missing Damien Lewis in this game too. So, yes. Wilson is still going to get sacked and hit a lot.
Washington is 25th in the NFL in sacks and won’t have Chase Young due to injury, but Washington has the 13th-most quarterback hits in the league this year. They also are 16th in pressure percentage (24.6 percent of dropbacks) and 9th in quarterback knockdown percentage (10.2). So Washington doesn’t get home as much as they should, but they do hit the quarterback a lot. Wilson will get hit a bunch too but not sacked as much.
Number one: Seahawks win 28-14 though they are dominated in time of possession
I am going to stop assuming that Seattle has anywhere close to the same amount of time of possession in any game as their opponent. Seattle’s opponents have an average drive time of 3:16, the worst in the NFL. But opponents average starting on their own 24.9 yard-line (thank you, Michael Dickson!) which is best in the NFL. Think about that. Seattle’s opponents eat up clock driving down field while starting with the worst field position in the league, The defense is terrible.
Seattle keeps the ball for 24:44 of a game (two minutes worse than another team). The Seahawks defense is on the field for 35:16 of a game. Atrocious. And the same thing will happen in week 12. But Seattle will score touchdowns and not field goals. Washington allows 3.2 touchdowns per game, 29th in the league. Seattle allows 2.3, 6th-best in the NFL.
Seattle wins this game by scoring touchdowns and Washington tries field goals and misses. It’s close entering the 4th quarter at 21-14 but Seattle scores with 5 minutes left to ice it.